15 November 2006

EMI Group plc results for the six months ended 30 September 2006


In the first half, EMI Group delivered rapid digital growth, continued creative success across both divisions and made good progress on its restructuring initiatives.

Strong second-half release schedules for both divisions, together with continued growth in digital revenues and on-going cost discipline, give the Board confidence that the Group is on track to deliver results in line with its expectations for the full year, after taking into account the impact of the fraud in Brazil.

  • EMI Group reports revenue of £867.9m compared to £924.6m in the prior year, a decline of 4.1% at constant currency.

  • Group digital revenues grew by 68.4% at constant currency, totalling £73.7m in the first half. Digital revenues represented 8.5% of total Group revenues, significantly up from 5.4% in the financial year ended 31 March 2006.

  • EMI Music revenues declined by 5.2% at constant currency, largely reflecting the phasing of the planned release schedule which, as previously indicated, has a greater weighting to the second half of the financial year. Digital revenues grew by 78.2% at constant currency, representing 9.4% of total divisional revenues in the half.

  • EMI Music Publishing delivered revenues in line with last year at constant currency and an increase in reported profit from operations of 5.8%.

  • A&R strength across both divisions:

o EMI Music continues to break new talent with success in North America in the first half including Letoya, Cherish, 30 Seconds to Mars and The Red Jumpsuit Apparatus;

o Second-half releases from EMI Music include albums from Robbie Williams, Norah Jones, Keith Urban, Joss Stone, Dierks Bentley, RBD, Relient K, All Saints, Vasco Rossi, Simon Webbe, Depeche Mode, The Magic Numbers, The Thrills and Moby. The Beatles also have an exciting new release, where the legendary producer Sir George Martin, and his son Giles, have been working with the entire archive of Beatles recordings to create the LOVE album;

o EMI Music Publishing’s first-half chart share reflects the high quality of its songwriting talent and resulted in mechanical and performance revenues outperforming the recorded music market;

o Key second-half releases for EMI Music Publishing include albums from Natasha Bedingfield, Kelly Clarkson, Daddy Yankee, Diddy, Snoop Dogg, Good Charlotte, Il Divo, Jay-Z, My Chemical Romance, Scissor Sisters, Sting, Kanye West and Amy Winehouse.

  • Group profit from operations reduced to £62.7m from £86.7m in the prior year. This largely reflects the decline in first-half revenues at EMI Music, and the one-off impact of £9.0m from the previously reported accounting fraud at EMI Music’s Brazilian operations.

  • Underlying profit before tax of £18.6m, after taking into account the one-off profit impact of the fraud in Brazil, compared to £41.0m in the prior year.

  • Underlying diluted EPS decreased to 1.4p from 3.8p in the prior year.

  • Interim dividend maintained at 2.0p per share.

 

Enquiries

EMI Group plc
Amanda Conroy         Corporate Communications         +44 20 7795 7529
Susie Bell                   Investor Relations                         +44 20 7795 7971
Sonia Shah                 Investor Relations                         +44 20 7795 7625

Brunswick Group LLP
Patrick Handley                                                                +44 20 7404 5959


A live webcast of EMI’s presentation to investors and analysts will take place at 9.00 am (UK time) today, 15 November 2006, and can be accessed via the Company’s web site, www.emigroup.com.  An archive will be available for viewing shortly thereafter.

This press release contains forward-looking statements that are subject to risk factors associated with, amongst other things, the economic and business circumstances occurring from time to time in the countries, sectors and markets in which the Group operates. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions because they relate to events and/or depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future and could cause actual results and outcomes to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by the forward-looking statements. Whilst it is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, no assurances can be given that the forward-looking statements in this press release will be realised.
 
 
Chairman’s statement

The results for the first half of the financial year largely reflect the phasing of EMI Music’s planned release schedule which, as previously indicated, has a greater weighting to the second half of the financial year than in prior years. EMI Music Publishing once again delivered a strong performance.

Group revenue for the six months to 30 September 2006, declined by 4.1% at constant currency and by 6.1% on a reported basis. The lower first-half revenues at EMI Music, and the £9.0m one-off cost of the fraud discovered in October at our recorded music business in Brazil, are the key reasons for the reported first-half decline in Group profit from operations from £86.7m to £62.7m. The Board has declared an unchanged interim dividend of 2.0p per share.

Digital revenue continues to grow rapidly, substantially increasing its share of total Group revenue. At EMI Music, digital revenue increased to £62.4m representing 9.4% of divisional revenue compared to 5.6% in the financial year to 31 March 2006. We expect continued strong growth in this revenue stream in the second half driven by EMI Music’s release schedule, the expected launch of new portable music players and the seasonal pick up in digital revenue that has been seen in the past two years. For EMI Music Publishing, digital revenue grew to £11.3m representing 5.6% of divisional revenue. The full tracking and auditing of the increasing number of uses for our songs remains a key priority and EMI Music Publishing continues to drive the industry’s agenda on issues such as rate setting and collection. While we are making progress, there is some way to go in fully capturing all music publishing digital revenues.

In EMI Music, our A&R strategy is proving to be successful. We continue to break new acts, who are not only producing the hits of today, but are strengthening our roster for the long term. In particular, during the half, we saw a number of artists break through in the US including Letoya, Cherish, 30 Seconds To Mars and The Red Jumpsuit Apparatus. In the UK, we saw continued success from KT Tunstall, Corinne Bailey Rae and The Kooks, whilst Lily Allen burst onto the music scene in July heading to the top of the charts.

At EMI Music Publishing, the outstanding quality of our songwriting talent has once again been reflected in our chart share over the period as well as in our mechanical and performance revenues, which have outperformed the recorded music industry.

In October 2006, we announced Marty Bandier’s resignation as Chairman and joint CEO of EMI Music Publishing. I would like to thank Marty for the immense contribution he has made to the development of EMI Music Publishing over the past 17 years. Roger Faxon, who is currently President and joint CEO of EMI Music Publishing, will succeed Marty as sole CEO from April 2007 when Marty will leave the business. I am confident that Roger and his highly talented management team will drive this exceptional business to new heights in the years ahead.

We have made strong progress on the Group-wide cost saving initiatives announced in April 2006. We are on track to achieve £10.0m of savings over the full year and a total of £30.0m by the end of the 2007/08 financial year.

Industry environment
A fall in the industry’s physical music revenue in the six months to 30 September 2006, resulted in an overall decline in the value of the recorded music market over the period. Digital revenues, however, continued to show strong growth and the evolution of new digital services, business models, devices and technologies continued at a rapid pace.  Consumer take up of digital music devices is growing at an impressive rate and, with market penetration still at less than 30%, there is significant untapped potential. Product innovation and the entry of new players underpin our confidence that we will continue to see substantial growth in digital revenue. Microsoft announced the launch of its portable digital music player, the Zune, which is now being rolled out in the US, with tracks and videos from EMI Music artists pre-loaded onto the device. Over the next six months, we will continue to see the launch of a new generation of mobile phones with enhanced music capabilities from, for example, Nokia and Sony Ericsson, as handset manufacturers continue to drive uptake through improved media functionality. 

The fight against piracy remains a key priority. The industry has secured a number of important results over the period such as an industry-wide settlement with Kazaa, a ruling against StreamCast and the suspension of Mastercard and Visa’s payment services to Russian site AllofMP3.com. It is reassuring that a number of courts and governments around the world have held that it is not acceptable to authorise the widespread infringement of others’ intellectual property. The industry’s anti-piracy efforts also appear to be having an impact on consumer behaviour with, for example, peer-to-peer usage remaining relatively stable in the US despite a significant increase in the number of households with broadband access. With the on-going evolution in the music market we expect the battle against piracy to remain a continuing challenge.

We believe that the fundamentals remain in place for the music market to return to growth driven by digital development. In the short term, the industry release schedule will help to drive the market’s trajectory and we are encouraged by the slate of industry releases due out for this Christmas season.

Group outlook
We have an outstanding collection of releases due in the second half of the financial year from both divisions.

From EMI Music, we have albums from Robbie Williams, Norah Jones, Keith Urban, Joss Stone, Dierks Bentley, RBD, Relient K, All Saints, Vasco Rossi, Simon Webbe, Depeche Mode, The Magic Numbers, The Thrills and Moby. We also have an exciting new release from The Beatles, where the legendary producer Sir George Martin, and his son Giles, have been working with the entire archive of Beatles recordings to create the LOVE album.

Key second-half releases for EMI Music Publishing include albums from Natasha Bedingfield, Kelly Clarkson, Daddy Yankee, Diddy, Snoop Dogg, Good Charlotte, Il Divo, Jay-Z, Norah Jones, My Chemical Romance, Scissor Sisters, Sting, Kanye West and Amy Winehouse.

The strength of this line up, together with continued strong growth in digital revenues and on-going cost discipline, give the Board confidence that the Group is on track to deliver results in line with its expectations for the full year, after taking into account the impact of the fraud in Brazil.
 
Business review

Part I
EMI Music
EMI Music reported first-half revenues of £667.1m, a decline of 5.2% at constant currency. This year-on-year decline largely reflects the phasing of the planned release schedule which is more heavily weighted to the second half than in prior years.

Digital revenues continued to grow rapidly and during the half represented 9.4% of total divisional revenue compared to 5.6% for the financial year to 31 March 2006. In particular, we have seen strong growth in revenue from mobile music products in North America with, for example, Bubba Sparxxx’s single Ms. New Booty selling more than 1m full-track single downloads to mobile during the period. Revenue from the sale of music videos has also grown strongly, albeit off a small base, with the particularly strong growth being seen in Japan where revenue was generated from mobile services including KDDI and DoCoMo. We have also been working closely with Napster who recently launched the first paid subscription service in Japan.

Reported profit from operations, after adjusting for the accounting fraud in Brazil, was £11.5m in the first half. The impact on underlying profit from operations of lower revenue and the changed mix of releases as compared the prior year was partly mitigated by the delivery of cost savings from the initiatives announced in April 2006 and higher operating margin achieved from digital music revenue.

During the past six months we have made good progress with our cost saving and other initiatives. In particular, the restructuring of our Japanese operations is well underway and, since April 2006, we have seen the introduction of a new organisational structure with a focus on the reallocation of resources into the key areas of A&R and marketing.  Across Continental Europe, we have successfully restructured a number of areas including the Mute label and operations in Scandinavia, Austria and Portugal. In particular, our shared finance service programme is well advanced and is expected to be completed shortly.

Our North American business delivered an encouraging performance in the first half driven by a healthy mix of releases. This included albums from established artists such as Janet Jackson, Bob Seger and Trace Adkins, new developing artists such as Letoya, 30 Seconds to Mars, Cherish and The Red Jumpsuit Apparatus as well as developing international artists, such as Corinne Bailey Rae and KT Tunstall who have successfully broken into the US market. The North American release schedule for the second half is strong, including new albums from Dierks Bentley, Keith Urban, Norah Jones, Relient K and Joss Stone. Latin sensation, RBD, who are signed to our EMI Televisa joint-venture, continue to go from strength to strength. Their much anticipated new album Celestial will be released prior to Christmas and will be followed by an English language album, both on international release.

As expected, the UK had a light first-half release schedule with no new releases during the period from any of our major-selling established artists. Importantly, we continued to see good success in developing and breaking new artists in the UK. In the first half, Corinne Bailey Rae’s self-titled debut album continued to sell well with total unit sales, including digital, exceeding 2.5m. The Kooks’ debut album, Inside In/Inside Out, which has now sold more than 1.5m units, has seen sustained success being in the top 10 of the UK charts for an impressive 25 weeks. Lily Allen has firmly positioned herself as one of the UK’s leading female artists, with her debut album Alright Still selling more than 750k units to date. She has also seen success in Continental Europe and is now working on entering the US market.  From the UK in the second half, the latest album from Robbie Williams, Rudebox, the LOVE album from The Beatles, and releases from All Saints, Depeche Mode, The Magic Numbers, Moby, The Thrills and Simon Webbe, are expected to sell well.

In Continental Europe, we continued to maximise the opportunity from the sale of local repertoire in the first half.  Top-selling local EMI Music artists included Renaud, Diam’s and Raphael from France; Pur, Lafee and Helmut Lotti from Germany; and Tiziano Ferro from Italy.  Second-half releases include albums from local artists Vasco Rossi, Wir Sind Helden and Arrebato. International releases from Moby, Depeche Mode, Norah Jones and Joss Stone are also expected to sell well in the region.

In Japan, local superstar artist Hikaru Utada released her new album, Ultra Blue, in June. Through a focus on mobile music marketing initiatives, almost 1m full-track singles from the album were downloaded to mobile in the half. Other top-selling albums in Japan during the period included G4 from Glay, A Girl in Summer from Yumi Matsutoya and 20 Y.O. from Janet Jackson.

Part II
EMI Music Publishing

EMI Music Publishing has again outperformed the recorded music industry over the six months to 30 September 2006, delivering revenue in line with the prior year at constant currency. The quality of the division’s roster of songwriters was reflected in strong on-going chart share and demonstrated the continued success of our A&R strategy. Notable hits over the period included songs by Scissor Sisters, Fergie, James Blunt, Beyonce, Kasabian, Christina Aguilera, Pink, Rihanna, The Feeling and The Zutons.

The division has built an exceptional catalogue of song copyrights featuring all-time classics as well as today’s hottest hits and is focused on maximising the value of this asset through existing and new uses. In pursuing this objective, good progress has been made with our planned systems’ investment and we have recently implemented a new programme for tracking the use of our digital rights called ‘Digits’. We believe we are taking a big step forward to enable faster and more efficient licensing of our content through our initiative to establish a pan-European one-stop shop for online rights, which is due to go live in January 2007.

Over the period, mechanical revenues, primarily generated from the sale of CDs, contributed 43.6% of divisional revenue and, despite declining by 1.4% at constant currency, outperformed the recorded music market. The division’s creative success limited the impact of challenging industry conditions and, by region, the US was a particular area of robust performance.

Performance revenues saw an especially strong increase, growing by 8.5% at constant currency to represent just over 30.8% of divisional revenue. Performance income is generated when a song is broadcast on the radio or television, performed live on stage or played in a public venue such as a bar. The strength of this revenue stream in the period primarily reflected EMI Music Publishing’s share of hit songs, which resulted in particularly strong radio and television airplay.

Synchronisation revenues accounted for 17.4% of divisional revenue and grew by 2.0% over the period. Such revenues are derived from the use of songs in audiovisual works such as television programmes, advertisements, films and computer games. Advertising and TV revenue saw good growth over the period and the division’s songs were licensed by a huge range of brands including Orange, Bacardi, Lee Jeans, Starwood Sheraton and Verizon. In the mobile arena, there has been a shift from ring tones to newer products such as master tones and ring backs. The structure of the industry means that it is taking longer for the division to receive payment for these newer mobile revenue streams. We are working hard to resolve this issue and, while we are making good progress, we recognise that it may take some time before we fully capture our share of income for these products. Overall, we believe that synchronisation revenues will continue to be an engine for growth in the coming months and years.

Other revenues comprise receipts from stage productions, background library and enforcement actions.  We have intensified our efforts in the area of enforcement in recent years, resulting in an increasing contribution from this activity. By their nature, enforcement revenues tend to be irregular and unpredictable and they were lower in the first half versus the prior year.

Recent and forthcoming releases from artists including Beyonce, Natasha Bedingfield, Kelly Clarkson, Daddy Yankee, Diddy, Snoop Dogg, Good Charlotte, Il Divo, Jay-Z, Norah Jones, My Chemical Romance, Scissor Sisters, Sting, Kanye West and Amy Winehouse will underpin the division’s second-half performance.

Part III
Finance
Underlying trading

Group revenue decreased by 4.1% at constant currency in the first half of the year, comprising flat revenues for EMI Music Publishing and a 5.2% decrease in first-half revenues for EMI Music. At constant currency there were revenue decreases in all geographic regions apart from North America, where there was a 1.5% increase. The impact on translation from the material strengthening of Sterling during the period resulted in a further 2.0% decrease in revenue against the equivalent period in 2005/06.  Overall, Group reported revenue decreased from £924.6m in the first half of the 2005/06 financial year to £867.9m in the equivalent period in 2006/07, a decrease of 6.1%.

Group underlying profit from operations (EBITA)(i) for the first half fell by 27.7% to £62.7m. EMI Music Publishing’s contribution, after allocation of central costs, increased to £51.2m from £48.4m in the prior year, whilst that of EMI Music, again after allocation of central costs, fell to £11.5m from £38.3m. North America and Asia Pacific were the only geographic regions to report an increase in EBITA.

The above results are stated post the impact of the accounting fraud at EMI Music’s business in Brazil which we announced on 25 October 2006. The fraud resulted in statutory revenues for EMI Music for the first half being reduced by £11.0m and EBITA being reduced by £9.0m from the levels indicated in the 16 October 2006 Trading Update.  In light of our investigations to date, we believe that the one-off financial impact of the fraud, is limited to the above amounts.  However, given the disruption to the business, it is likely that EMI Music’s operations in Brazil will underperform in the full financial year.

The Group’s share of profit from associates increased from £0.6m in 2005/06 to £0.7m in 2006/07.

Group underlying finance charges decreased from £46.3m in the first six months of 2005/06 to £44.8m in the equivalent period in 2006/07. The decreased finance charges, which resulted from lower average net borrowings, favourable changes in the mix of borrowing currencies, and higher notional net interest on pension fund assets, were achieved in spite of generally higher interest rates.

The Group’s underlying tax charge decreased from £9.0m to £4.1m in the first half of the year.  As in prior years, the underlying tax rate used in the calculation of the tax charge for the first half year was the proforma rate for the full year.  For both 2005/06 and 2006/07, the rate is 22.0%.

The Group’s underlying profit on ordinary activities after taxation(ii) decreased from £32.0m in the first six months of 2005/06 to £14.5m in 2006/07.

Underlying basic earnings per share(ii) were 1.4p in the first half of 2006/07 compared with 3.9p in the first half of 2005/06. Underlying diluted earnings per share, the calculation of which includes the impact of the possible exercise of dilutive share options, decreased over the same period from 3.8p to 1.4p.

Notes:
(i) Underlying Group profit from operations (EBITA) is before operating exceptional items and amortisation and before share of profit in associates.
(ii) Before exceptional items and amortisation.

Exceptional items and amortisation
Exceptional items and amortisation comprise operating exceptional costs, finance exceptional costs and amortisation of music copyrights and intangibles.

The Group reported operating exceptional income of £13.8m in the first half of 2006/07 compared with income of £2.6m in the first half of the prior year. In 2006/07, the exceptional income comprised gains on the sale of properties totalling £53.5m (mainly in Japan and the USA), less the costs of the headcount reduction and reorganisation project of £33.5m, and the costs of £6.2m incurred in connection with the potential acquisition of Warner Music Group.

The Group reported net finance exceptional costs relating to remeasurements of £5.6m compared to a credit of £28.6m in the first half of 2005/06. The two most significant elements of this movement were the loss on revaluation to fair value of the convertible bond derivative of £16.5m (2005/06: £14.2m gain), and the fair value revaluation of the Eurobond call feature derivative asset of £1.5m credit (2005/06: £14.2m credit). The remainder of the reported total in each year mainly arose from foreign exchange movements on unhedged borrowings.

Amortisation and impairment of music copyrights and other intangibles amounted to £23.6m in the first half of 2006/07 in comparison with £25.4m in the equivalent period last year.

Reported results
Total Group profit from operations, including share of associates, for the first six months of 2006/07 was £53.6m compared to £64.5m in the prior period. This reflected the partial offset of the reduction in total Group profit from operations by the increase in operating exceptional income. Total Group profit before taxation was £3.2m in the first half of 2006/07 as against £46.8m in the equivalent period of 2005/06.

The minority interest charge reduced from £1.1m in the prior year’s first half to £0.5m in 2006/07. This primarily reflected the results of TOEMI, our Japanese recorded music business, and Tooth & Nail, a US music label.

The Group reported a loss on continuing operations after taxation for the first half of £30.1m as compared to a reported profit of £37.8m in the first six months of 2005/06.

The Board has declared an interim dividend of 2.0p per share, in line with the interim dividend last year.

Cash flow and net borrowings
The net cash outflow from operating activities was £156.1m for the first half of 2006/07 compared with an outflow of £79.0m in the first half of the prior year. The increased cash outflow was driven by reduced underlying profit, cash spend on the reorganisation programme and a working capital outflow, reflecting sales phasing.

The net cash inflow from investing activities was £76.9m in comparison with an outflow of £3.7m in the first half of the prior year. The higher amount in 2006/07 was the consequence of the proceeds from property disposals in Tokyo and Los Angeles.

The net interest payment totalled £66.0m in the first half of 2006/07. As in prior years, the cash interest paid was higher than the charge in the consolidated income statement as the interest on the Group’s Sterling bond was paid in one instalment in May 2006.

After net interest payments, dividends to shareholders and minorities of £14.1m and other payments of £3.7m, the increase in net debt resulting from cashflows was £164.2m, similar to the movement in the first half of 2005/06. After currency exchange gains of £28.9m and fair value remeasurements of £8.8m, the total movement in net debt was an increase of £126.5m, taking reported net debt to £1,006.0m at 30 September 2006. Given the seasonality in our business, net debt at the half year is typically higher than at the financial year end.